Replacement Cost Model

How the proposer calculates $/ton — the estimated total installed replacement cost for each HVAC unit

$/ton = min( Base × Region × Facility + Access , $12,000 )
Each factor addresses a different cost driver. The $12K cap prevents unrealistic stacking.

Step 1 — Base Cost (Equipment Type × Size)

The biggest driver. A 20-ton CRAC costs 2.5× more per ton to replace than a 20-ton RTU because of precision cooling, raised-floor infrastructure, and redundancy requirements.

Base $/ton by Equipment Type and Tonnage Tier

Step 2 — Region Multiplier (Labor + Material Costs)

Reflects geographic cost differences. SF Bay Area is 38% above national average; Southeast is 8% below. Based on RSMeans 2024 City Cost Index (Division 23 — HVAC).

Region Cost Index (1.00 = National Average)

Step 3 — Facility Multiplier (Complexity Premium)

Mission-critical facilities cost more due to redundancy requirements, testing protocols, and downtime constraints. A hospital install needs 50% more coordination than an office.

Facility Type Multiplier

Step 4 — Access Adder ($/ton flat add)

Crane rental, rigging labor, and interior logistics. This is a flat adder, not a multiplier — a rooftop unit costs $250/ton extra regardless of equipment type.

Access Complexity Adder

Impact on a 25-ton RTU (NE Region)

Worked Examples

Three real-world scenarios showing how factors combine.

RTU 30-ton Rooftop Unit — Office Building, Northeast

Base: $2,200/ton (RTU, large tier: 25-50T)
× Region: 1.12 (Northeast)
× Facility: 1.00 (Office)
+ Access: $250/ton (Rooftop)
= $2,714/ton → $81,420 total replacement cost

Chiller 150-ton Air-Cooled Chiller — Hospital, West

Base: $2,800/ton (Chiller Air, XL tier: 50T+)
× Region: 1.15 (West)
× Facility: 1.50 (Hospital)
+ Access: $350/ton (Mechanical Room)
= $5,180/ton → $777,000 total replacement cost

CRAC 20-ton Precision Cooling — Data Center, SF Bay Area

Base: $7,000/ton (CRAC, mid tier: 10-25T)
× Region: 1.38 (SF Bay / West+)
× Facility: 1.70 (Data Center)
+ Access: $350/ton (Mechanical Room)
= $12,000/ton [capped] → $240,000 total replacement cost
Without the cap this would be $16,772/ton. The $12K cap keeps estimates defensible.

Quick Reference — Base Cost Table

When equipment type is unknown, falls back to conservative default: $3,000/ton (≤25T) or $2,500/ton (>25T).

Equipment TypeSmall (≤10T)Mid (10-25T)Large (25-50T)XL (50T+)
Split System$5,500$4,000
PTAC$4,500
RTU / Packaged DX$3,500$2,800$2,200$2,500
Air-Cooled Chiller$4,000$3,000$2,500$2,800
Water-Cooled Chiller$3,500$2,800$3,200
CRAC / Precision$8,000$7,000$6,000
AHU / Dry Cooler$2,800$2,200$1,800$2,000
Why XL costs more per ton than Large: At 50T+, units exceed single-lift capacity, requiring split delivery, field assembly, and multiple crane picks. Structural reinforcement of rooftops, specialized rigging, and extended commissioning drive per-ton cost back up despite economies of scale on the equipment itself. (RS Means Mechanical Cost Data 2024; Gordian Unit Price Book 2023 Div 23)
Why this matters for sales: When we know the equipment type, we use the correct base cost. A CRAC at $7,000/ton base produces a much larger "avoided replacement cost" savings number than the conservative default of $2,500-$3,000/ton. Getting the equipment type right = bigger deal value.

Sources: RS Means Mechanical Cost Data 2024; Gordian Unit Price Book 2023 (Division 23); Ener.co internal field data 2018-2024; Google/JLL SF Bay facilities data (2026); TD Bank Mount Laurel NJ facilities data (2026).